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双语阅读:爱情,也要理性投资
发布日期:2009-04-09 浏览次数:

        AS my fine professor of economics at Columbia, C. Lowell Harriss (who just celebrated his 96th birthday) used to tell us, economics is the study of the allocation of scarce goods and services. What could be scarcer or more precious than love? It is rare, hard to come by and often fragile.

      正如我在哥伦比亚大学的杰出经济学教授劳威尔·哈里斯(他刚刚庆祝96岁生日)过去曾经说过的,经济学研究的是稀缺资源和服务的配置问题。有什么比爱情更加稀缺和珍贵呢?爱情可遇不可求,而且,通常是很脆弱的。

      My primary life study has been about love. Second comes economics, so here, in the form of a few rules, is a little amalgam of the two fields: the economics of love. (I last wrote about this subject 20 years or so ago, and it’s time to update it.)

      我最主要的生命研究课题一直是爱情,其次是经济学。所以在此,我要用几条法则的形式解读一下二者的混合体:爱情经济学。(我最后一次写这个主题的文章大概在20年前,是时候来更新它了。)

     In general, and with rare exceptions, the returns in love situations are roughly proportional to the amount of time and devotion invested. The amount of love you get from an investment in love is correlated, if only roughly, to the amount of yourself you invest in the relationship.

     大体上说,爱情的回报与你投入的时间和热情成正比,例外的情形很少。粗略算起来,你在某种关系中的投资与回报基本相等。

     If you invest caring, patience and unselfishness, you get those things back. (This assumes, of course, that you are having a relationship with someone who loves you, and not a one-sided love affair with someone who isn’t interested.)

     如果你投入了关心、耐心和无私,你就会得到同样的回报。(这种假设的前提是,与你有关系的对方也爱你,而非你一厢情愿的单相思。)

      High-quality bonds consistently yield more return than junk, and so it is with high-quality love. As for the returns on bonds, I know that my comment will come as a surprise to people who have been brainwashed into thinking that junk bonds are free money. They aren’t. The data from the maven of bond research, W. Braddock Hickman, shows that junk debt outperforms high quality only in rare situations, because of the default risk.

     高品质的基金比垃圾基金有更好的回报,高品质的爱情也是如此。谈到基金回报问题,我知道我的评论会令购买垃圾基金的人感到惊奇,因为他们素来认为垃圾基金是免费的,其实不然。根据基金研究专家布拉德克·西克曼的研究,因为其本身的投资风险,垃圾基金鲜少比高品质基金有更好的回报。

     In love, the data is even clearer. Stay with high-quality human beings. And once you find that you are in a junk relationship, sell immediately. Junk situations can look appealing and seductive, but junk is junk. Be wary of it unless you control the market.

      在爱情方面,数据统计结果更加一目了然。跟高品质的人相处吧。一旦你发现你正在陷入垃圾关系中,立刻卖掉它。垃圾关系看上去也许是富有魅力的、诱人的,但是,垃圾就是垃圾。除非你能掌控整个市场,否则就要当心了。

      (Or, as I like to tell college students, the absolutely surest way to ruin your life is to have a relationship with someone with many serious problems, and to think that you can change this person.)

     (或者,像我对学生们说的那样,如果你想毁掉自己的人生,最可靠的方法就是与一个有很多严重问题的人建立关系,并认为你能改变这个人。)

      Research pays off. The most appealing and seductive (that word again) exterior can hide the most danger and chance of loss. For most of us, diversification in love, at least beyond a very small number, is impossible, so it’s necessary to do a lot of research on the choice you make. It is a rare man or woman who can resist the outward and the surface. But exteriors can hide far too much.

      花时间做调研是很值得的。越是富有魅力和诱人(又说到这个词了)的外表下潜藏着越大的危险和失败的机会。对我们大多数人来说,在爱情方面实施多元化(即便是小范围的)是不可能的,因此,有必要对你的选择做一些研究。很少有人能抗拒外在和表面的诱惑,但是,外表能隐藏太多的东西。

      In every long-term romantic situation, returns are greater when there is a monopoly. If you have to share your love with others, if you have to compete even after a brief while with others, forget the whole thing. You want to have monopoly bonds with your long-term lover. At least most situations work out better this way. ( I am too old to consider short-term romantic events. Those were my life when Lyndon Johnson and Richard Nixon were in the White House.)

      在每一段长期的爱情关系中,垄断会带来更大的收益。如果你不得不与别人分享爱情,如果你不得不与别人竞争,那还是忘了这段情吧。你要对所爱的人拥有长期的垄断权,至少在大部分情况下,这会产生更好的回报。(我的年龄已经不允许我再考虑什么短期的风流韵事,那已经是林登·杰克逊和理查德·尼克松执掌白宫时的事情了。)

     The returns on your investment should at least equal the cost of the investment. If you are getting less back than you put in over a considerable period of time, back off.

      你的回报至少应该与投资持平。如果在相当长的时期里,回报都少于预期,就收手吧。

      Long-term investment pays off. The impatient day player will fare poorly without inside information or market-controlling power. He or she will have a few good days but years of agony in the world of love.

      长期投资是划得来的。如果没有内幕消息或掌控市场的权利,缺乏耐心的投资人一定会亏得很惨。历经苦难的爱侣终会尝到爱情的甜蜜。

      To coin a phrase: Fall in love in haste, repent at leisure.

      套用一句老话:草率恋爱,后悔莫及。

      Realistic expectations are everything. If you have unrealistic expectations, they will rarely be met. If you think that you can go from nowhere to having someone wonderful in love with you, you are probably wrong.

      期望应该是切合实际的,不切实际的愿望很难实现。如果你认为呆在家里就会有完美的爱人从天而降,就大错特错了。

      You need expectations that match reality before you can make some progress. There may be exceptions, but they are rare.
 
      你应该对有望取得进展的关系有所期待。尽管例外情况也会有,毕竟很少。

      When you have a winner, stick with your winner. Whether in love or in the stock market, winners are to be prized.

      如果爱情竞赛中胜负已定,跟赢家在一起吧。无论在爱情还是股市中,赢家都应该获得奖赏。

      Have a dog or many dogs or cats in your life. These are your anchors to windward and your unfailing source of love.

     养一只或几只宠物,这会成为情感的风向标和爱的不竭之源。

     Ben Franklin summed it up well. In times of stress, the three best things to have are an old dog, an old wife and ready money. How right he was.

      本·富兰克林的做法值得借鉴。在苦难时期,面对着老狗、老妻和钱财,他的选择何等明智啊。

      THERE is more that could be said about the economics of love, but these thoughts may divert you while you are thinking about your future.

      对于爱情经济学,还有很多内容可以说,但是,那会在你思考未来时转移你的思路,暂且不提了。

     And let me close with another thought. I am far from glib about the economy. It has a lot of pitfalls facing it. As workers and investors, we know that many dangers lurk in our paths.

     让我用另一个话题来结束这篇文章吧。对于经济我并非能言善道,有很多难题无法解决。作为经济工作者和投资人,我们知道在途中还有很多危险诱惑。

     But so far, these things have always worked themselves out and this one will, too. In the meantime, they say that falling in love is wonderful, and that the best is falling in love with what you have.

     但是,到目前为止,这些问题都在一一解决,爱情的问题也是如此。同时,人们说坠入爱河是美妙的,而最美妙之处在于你的全情投入。

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